We publish before kick-off. We never delete a miss.

• Match result probabilities

  Home, draw and away probability for every match. Expressed as percentages that sum to 100.

• First-half probabilities

  A separate probability distribution for the first-half result. Computed independently of the full-time distribution.

• Daily analysis sets

  Groups compiled from the day's fixture list. Each set carries its own publication time and validity window.

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1. Los Angeles FC – Austin

   37.2%

   Match result home win and both teams to score: no

   Score 3-1 · Miss

2. Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers

   46.6%

   Match result: home win

   Score 2-0 · Hit

3. Los Angeles Galaxy – Portland Timbers

   32.9%

   Half-time home ahead, full-time home win

   Score 2-0 · Hit

4. Colorado Rapids – Minnesota United FC

   22.0%

   Match result home win and both teams to score: yes

   Score 2-2 · Miss

5. Real Salt Lake – San Jose Earthquakes

   32.4%

   Half-time home ahead, full-time home win

   Score 1-1 · Miss

• Unsuccessful predictions are never deleted from the record.
• Nothing is corrected retroactively; a published row stays as published.
• A past measurement does not predict future accuracy.